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Prediction models for the development of COPD: a systematic review

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dc.contributor.author Matheson, M.C
dc.contributor.author Bowatte, G
dc.contributor.author Perret, J.L
dc.contributor.author Lowe, A.J
dc.contributor.author Senaratne, B.C.V
dc.contributor.author Hall, G.L
dc.contributor.author Klerk, N.D
dc.contributor.author Keogh, L.A
dc.contributor.author McDonald, C.F
dc.contributor.author Waidyatillake, N.T
dc.contributor.author Sly, P.D
dc.contributor.author Jarvis, D
dc.contributor.author Abramson, M.J
dc.contributor.author Lodge, C.J
dc.contributor.author Dharmage, S.C
dc.date.accessioned 2020-01-02T05:36:25Z
dc.date.available 2020-01-02T05:36:25Z
dc.date.issued 2018
dc.identifier.citation Matheson, M.C. et al.(2018)."Prediction models for the development of COPD: a systematic review", International Journal of COPD 2018:13 1927–1935 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://dr.lib.sjp.ac.lk/handle/123456789/8645
dc.description.abstract Early identification of people at risk of developing COPD is crucial for implementing preventive strategies. We aimed to systematically review and assess the performance of all published models that predicted development of COPD. A search was conducted to identify studies that developed a prediction model for COPD development. The Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies was followed when extracting data and appraising the selected studies. Of the 4,481 records identified, 30 articles were selected for full-text review, and only four of these were eligible to be included in the review. The only consistent predictor across all four models was a measure of smoking. Sex and age were used in most models; however, other factors varied widely. Two of the models had good ability to discriminate between people who were correctly or incorrectly classified as at risk of developing COPD. Overall none of the models were particularly useful in accurately predicting future risk of COPD, nor were they good at ruling out future risk of COPD. Further studies are needed to develop new prediction models and robustly validate them in external cohorts. Keywords: COPD, early detection, predictors and risk prediction models en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Dovepress en_US
dc.subject COPD, early detection, predictors and risk prediction models en_US
dc.title Prediction models for the development of COPD: a systematic review en_US
dc.type Article en_US

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